Hi Everyone,
Seth suggested a 2-day cooling off period before any new posts on this topic. A good idea.
I am traveling in Australia right now, and between the 200 different time zones, the
switch to standard time from daylight savings time, and the international date line,
it's taken me about 2 days to figure out the 2-day lag. In any case, hoping enough
time has passed, I'd like to add some thoughts about this issue that may be helpful
for those who have the difficult responsibilities of trying to make decisions about their
dances.
If we are considering ending or changing the covid rules for our dances, there are some
basic things that can underlie our decisions:
* Covid is a respiratory disease. It invades the body through mucous membranes in the
mouth, nose, and sometimes the eyes.
* The virus spreads primarily through droplets and aerosols expelled through the mouth and
nose. But virus particles can be easily diluted and dispersed by wind, including good air
movement.
* Contra dancing is an activity where people breathe on each other, interacting with many
people in a short period of time, over and over again. Sometimes breathing hard. Nearly
always indoors.
* CDC guidelines are not based on contra dancing. Even in medical facilities, patients,
doctors, and nurses do not swing each other, breathe into each others' faces, and
change partners every 35 seconds (at least I hope not). Guidelines for medical facilities
are not directly relevant to contra dances.
* The current variants of this coronavirus are much more transmissible than the earlier
variants. Meaning that data from the pre-delta/pre-omicron period may be misleading and
not properly relevant to today's circumstances.
* Vaccinated people can indeed get infected and sick with covid, but in general their
transmissible phase (when they can infect others) is a day or so shorter and usually
contains lower levels of the virus, compared to unvaccinated people.
* The current covid statistics from the CDC and other agencies have some serious problems.
While the reported rates of deaths and hospitalizations are probably accurate, the
reported rates of infection (derived from testing) are systematically biased low because
so many people now test at home without officially reporting the results.
So, after three years of not dancing together and/or complying with covid restrictions of
requiring vaccinations, wearing masks, etc -- well, here are my thoughts --
* Masks are still critical in contra dances. The general infection rate is higher than
officially reported. Especially important for people vulnerable to being infected. (This
is in the U.S. Other countries with higher vaccination rates may have much lower infection
rates.). The protection with masks goes both ways.
* Vaccinations -- not so much, especially if people wear good masks (N95 or equivalent)
and the mask requirement is enforced. Also, people who have been sick recently with covid
are well-protected from having a transmissible virus load. (The operative word here is
"recently". But the practical question is the definition of
"recently".)
* Air movement in the room -- this item has not been emphasized enough, although it's
extremely important. And it's something that dance groups can directly improve at
their dances. Open windows, multiple fans, etc. Also, dance organizers can easily monitor
air movement with a carbon dioxide sensor (portable sensors are available for less than
$100). Place one in a room and see what happens during the dance evening. CO2 is heavier
than air. People breathe out CO2. Therefore, CO2 levels in a room can be a proxy for the
risk of covid transmission because CO2 levels reflect the amount of air movement.
Atmospheric CO2 levels are around 413 ppm. If the air doesn't move much, CO2 levels
will quickly rise during a dance evening, sometimes to more than 1,000 ppm. If the CO2
level can be maintained below 600 ppm, this probably indicates that air is circulating
relatively efficiently, which reduces the risk of viral particle buildup. Keeping the CO2
level near 413 ppm is even better. (It's a well-known fact, for example, that exhaled
coronaviruses are not very transmissible in a 40-mph prevailing wind.)
* Mandatory reporting - need to know if any dancers experience covid symptoms or test
positive soon after a dance event. Collecting this information is awkward and cumbersome,
probably pie-in-the-sky, but it would be a good statistic. And provide assurance to
everyone, especially over time.
Long and complex, but just my two cents.
Woody
Woody Lane
Caller, Percussive Dancer, Event Organizer
Roseburg, OR
_______________________________________________
-----Original Message-----
From: Lisa Sieverts via Organizers <organizers(a)lists.sharedweight.net>
Sent: Friday, April 7, 2023 11:34 PM
To: A list for dance organizers <organizers(a)sharedweight.net>
Subject: [Organizers] Is it time to change our mask mandates?
Hello fellow organizers,
I have been a big proponent of our dance mask mandates and feel we have prevented quite a
bit of COVID spread by requiring good facemasks.
However, our local hospital has announced that after 3 years of a mask mandate for
everyone entering their building (it's both a hospital and a medical center), they are
lifting the mandate on April 10 for anyone asymptomatic and who hasn't had a recent
COVID contact.
Our board will be discussing this soon but I am very curious about what other organizers
think. Is it time? And what should be our criteria for lifting our mandates?
Best,
Lisa
Monadnock Folklore Society
Nelson, NH
Lisa Sieverts
603-762-0235
lisa(a)lisasieverts.com
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